A Beckerian Theory of Taxation -- by Margaret Chen, Mikhail Golosov, Ilia Krasikov

We study taxation in matching environments in which both equilibrium sorting and the sharing of match surplus are endogenous. Tax reforms lead to complex adjustments in sorting and surplus sharing patterns across the whole economy. We develop a general approach for characterizing these equilibrium adjustments using matching elasticities, which are primitive objects that describe how agents' matching choices are affected by pecuniary payoffs in partial equilibrium. Applying this approach to a workhorse model of family formation, we first show that the sorting and surplus sharing responses are closely linked to complementarities in the creation of economic surplus, as first emphasized by Becker (1973). We then describe the effects of arbitrary tax reforms on tax revenues, the utilities of different agents, and social welfare; design tests to assess Pareto efficiency of existing tax systems; derive formulas that characterize optimal taxes; and propose numerical techniques to compute them. In a calibrated model, we find that optimal marginal tax rates are substantially lower and less progressive than in the Mirrleesian benchmark. We thank Sara Casella, Hal Cole, Magne Mogstad, Simon Mongey, Florian Scheuer, Ali Shourideh, Ivan Werning and participants at Bank of Portugal, Cornell University, CREST, Mannheim University, Nova, NBER Public Economics conference, SciencesPo, UC Berkeley, University of Chicago, University College London, University of Copenhagen, University of Oslo, University of Zurich for helpful comments. Golosov and Krasikov thank the NSF for support (award number 2416505). Golosov thanks the EIEF for hospitality. The views expressed herein are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the National Bureau of Economic Research. In addition toworking papers, the NBER disseminates affiliates’ latest findings through a range of free periodicals—theNBER Reporter, theNBER Digest, theBulletin on Health, theBulletin on the Economics of Alzheimer's, and theBulletin on Entrepreneurship—as well asresearch spotlights, lectures, and panel videos.